Posts Tagged ‘free trade’
U.S. has China seeing red…make that green

When it comes to free trade with China there are at least few things you can count on.

1. The dollar will continue to fall

2. Self sufficiency is bad for corporations

3. Jobs will continue to leave American soil

4. We are now officially on the economic outpatient plan

5. We're more yellow than they are

 
U.S. lunch getting eaten in economic crunch

The sky is falling! The sky is falling! But this time Chicken Little is correct. The sky really is falling and in this context, the sky is our economy. The two big questions on everyone’s mind are: (1) Why is this happening? And (2) what can we do to remedy the problem?

Actually, I need to amend that last statement. These questions are only on the minds of those who are willing to be honest about the economic plight of your average American. All you have to do is watch the Republican candidates answer the economy question in the Simi Valley Republican debate which took place just last week. You'll find out real quick who wants to be honest and who wants to lie and obfuscate.

The question was asked, “Are Americans better off than they were eight years ago?” The answer is generally, no. But I sat in shock as two of the four candidates running for the Republican nomination skirted the question (in Romney’s case) or just plain lied (as in McCain’s). The only two individuals on that platform who were willing to tell the truth were Huckabee and Paul. The irony is that probably neither one of these guys has a hope of getting the nomination. So much for being honest. But I suppose it really doesn't matter with those two either, since both of them are big believers in free trade. More on that later. What I'd rather focus on now is the unwillingness of media whore politicians and their pimps to be honest about not only our predicament, but some of the major factors influencing the current economic climate.

This is a significant point, because the big story coming out of all the major media outlets a mere two days after the debate was the loss of 17000 jobs in January, the biggest loss since 2003. The news was also remarkably consistent in reporting the symptoms of our economic decline. Curiously absent was any reporting on why this is happening, much less what we can do about it?

The media attributed the "cause" of our economic downturn to gigantic job losses in construction, manufacturing/goods producing, and retail. They also point out that soaring fuel costs are crippling the trucking industry, as well as taking an ever bigger bite out of the average person’s budget.

Interestingly, those loses in jobs were punctuated by gains in the service industry, especially the food service industry. Ever hear the saying that we’re becoming a service oriented economy? Better get used to that; because thanks to the politicians who think your vote is a mandate to ensure free trade, NAFTA , and reckless spending, more and more of us are going to be lining up at Wendy’s to beg for a job and we’ll feel damn lucky to get it, too. That’s because if Bush and others like him (McCain, Kennedy, etc.) have their way, it’ll be open borders and amnesty for illegals. Illegals which you, my amigo, will be competing with for that top tier job down at Burger King.

Guest contributor, Tom Powers, has written an excellent piece which underscores this shift in the U.S. from a self sufficient manufacturing/goods producing economy to a dependent service and so-called consumer economy. It makes for interesting reading in light of the loss in manufacturing jobs and the gains in service jobs, which just happen to be at the low end of the pay scale.

I've compiled a list of excerpts from various media outlets for your consideration. Notice how, with few exceptions, those reporting on our economic woes are utterly impotent to point the finger at free trade, our unwritten "open borders policy" and the $9 trillion deficit, a deficit which we are trying to hold at bay by borrowing money, in effect, from foreign countries like China, Japan, and the E.U.

From BUSINESSWEEK.COM: And then there are the staggeringly large Chinese trade surpluses. For years, economists reassured themselves that China's trade with the whole world was pretty well balanced, even if the country had a big surplus with the U.S. Those days are over. Now, China's trade surplus has more than tripled, to an annual rate of about $70 billion a year.

That $70 billion surplus is exactly that — the extra income that China takes in from exports and that isn't used at home. It's all recycled as savings into the global economy, in the form of purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds and, lately, as stepped-up direct investment in U.S. companies. Analysts say CNOOC's bid for Unocal could herald a wave of Chinese takeovers of U.S. companies.

From THEATLANTIC.COM: The U.S. budget deficit is financed by borrowing. More and more of that money comes from China, now the United States' second-largest lender, after Japan. China's investment in U.S. government debt has more than tripled in the past five years, from $71 billion in 2000 to $242 billion in 2005.

From GOVEXEC.COM: Humming the same tune he's been singing in a tour of the nation, Government Accountability Office chief David Walker warned senators Tuesday that the federal budget is spiraling out of control and that little time remains to steer it to safer ground. Driven by a combination of soaring healthcare costs and the demographic swell of baby boomers on the cusp of retirement, Walker told the Senate Budget Committee that "the federal budget is on an imprudent and unsustainable path" and that "the passage of time only serves to worsen this situation."

From WSWS.ORG: The Labor Department report indicates that jobs were eliminated in the construction, manufacturing, and government sectors, while job growth continued, albeit at a reduced pace, in the service and retail sectors.

This same article went on to say:

The rise in consumer prices – driven largely by increases in essential goods like food and fuel – coupled with greater rates of unemployment and falling real incomes, will have the effect of further driving down economic growth.

From NY.TIMES.COM: …the January employment report cast the job market in a startlingly darker light. Jobs disappeared across a broad spectrum of activities, with the steepest losses coming in the manufacturing, construction and goods-producing industries.

From UPI.COM: WASHINGTON, Feb. 1 (UPI) — Declines in construction and manufacturing contributed to a loss of 17,000 jobs in the United States, a Friday release from the U.S. Department of Labor said.

The drop in jobs is a critical measurement of the economy, due to the expected decrease in consumer spending.

But some sectors experienced losses. Construction lost 27,000 jobs in January and manufacturing, which has lost 269,000 jobs since January 2007, lost 28,000 last month.

Food service, gaining 16,000 jobs, and healthcare, gaining 27,000, helped offset losses in other sectors.

From NEWSVINE.COM: "…the unexpectedly low figure indicates that problems arising in the housing and financial sectors are spreading to other sections of the economy, including retail and manufacturing.”

The Labor Department report indicates that jobs were eliminated in the construction, manufacturing, and government sectors, while job growth continued, albeit at a reduced pace, in the service and retail sectors. Professional service jobs – including those in finance, banking, and real estate, fell by 11,000, due largely to slowdowns arising from the collapse of the housing bubble and consequent losses in the financial sector.

In concurrence with the Federal Reserve, Congress and the White House have been putting together a $150 billion fiscal stimulus package. Both of these measures aim to avert negative growth in the short term, but as ominous economic indicators pile up, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that these actions will have a significant impact on the slide into recession.

Somebody stop the madness!

 
Made in China – Tech Support in India

CHINA

Some years back, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was being debated. Texas billionaire and one-time presidential candidate Ross Perot said that if NAFTA went into effect there would be a “giant sucking sound” of US jobs going to Mexico. Obviously we have lost some jobs to Mexico, but it wasn’t a giant loss. There are a couple of reasons. One, Mexico has only one third the population of the US (and a good part of that is already on our side of the border). Two, to put it kindly, they do not have a governmental structure that is particularly good at nurturing industries.

China is a different story. There are 1.2 billion Chinese. This is four times our population. China also has a government that you might call “focused” or “aggressive.” Totalitarian and belligerent also come to mind. The leadership of China has stated that it is their goal to be the “manufacturer of the world”.

The problem is that the US has been the manufacturer of the world. Sure, a lot of things were made in Japan and made well, but the US was still the big dog of manufacturing. No more.

If you want to know how much stuff is being made in China, just go to WalMart. If you didn’t know, Sam Walton is dead and apparently so is his “Buy American First” philosophy. You first started seeing “Made in China” on clothing. Making clothing is what you call a “labor intensive” industry. That means that most of the cost of manufacturing is not in expensive equipment, but in manpower. You could buy a truckload of sewing machines, find an empty building outside Wu Ha and be in business. If things went bad with the government, all you were out was some sewing machines. As American companies became more comfortable that the Chinese authorities weren’t going to run over their middle managers with tanks they began to open shops in China that required a larger outlay of cash for machinery. The whole thing escalated to what we have today. All our manufacturing jobs are going to China.

It is no wonder that so many things are being made in China. A couple of years ago I found an item on the internet from the official China news agency. It was about their pay scale compared to ours and Mexico’s. They listed our average manufacturing wage as about $12.50 an hour and Mexico’s as $2.60. They showed theirs as $.62. It doesn’t take a PhD in economics to tell you that we have a problem. Actually, it would take a PhD in economics to show that we don’t, which reminds me, the next time someone tells you that we have lost more jobs to increased efficiency than to China, ask them how they got their numbers. Economics is a murky science.

The other advantage that manufacturers in China and other developing nations have is that they don’t have our government regulating them. They don’t have OSHA, the EPA, the Labor Department and so on. Don’t get me wrong, I am for safe workplaces, clean air and 40 hour work weeks. The problem is that China does not have these things. Therefore, their other (non-wage) costs are also lower. Free trade is not fair trade. We do not have anything approaching a level playing field.

INDIA

When this massive loss of jobs, or “outsourcing” as it is called, was first noted lots of Americans were upset. Most Americans would like to see their children someday have a job that would make their own car payments. The experts said “Don’t worry; we are becoming a service economy.” Some cynical types pointed out that service jobs tend to cluster at either end of the pay scale. On one end you have “The plans are on my desk” and “My secretary will show you where to sign.” On the other end is “Would you like fries with that?” There are not many jobs in the middle. “Sure there are,” said the experts. “There are help desk jobs, claims processing, all kinds of things.” That was before those jobs started going to Bangalore, India. The next time you are ready to take a ball bat to your computer, call the help desk instead. You will probably get someone who sounds just like Apu, the convenience store operator on the Simpsons. About ten minutes of that and you will forget about bashing the computer, and instead turn the ball bat on yourself.

Then the experts said we would support our economy on biotech. Oh, sure. All the smart people in the world live in the USA. That biotech story didn’t last long. The latest one I heard was that we were going to be the bankers of the world. The experts cite the example of the Dutch in the 1700’s. They were the bankers of the world. They also wore wooden shoes and got their power from windmills. I think we have a better chance of going to a lawn-care based economy.

We have a serious problem, and it needs to be addressed now.